World commodity update for 17/02/2009

Please note the chart is now based on April WTI

The same tight range losing just 13 cents overall could describe the April WTI contract yesterday. Technically the moving averages provide good resistance and we can notice the 9 and 14 day ma reluctantly trying to move downwards breaking the bunch but the move is too modest to be interpreted as a signal. The next downside target is the low of 2009 at $40.88 level which could be challenged soon.

The short, medium and long term trends are bearish.

WTI:

Support: $40.96 (yesterday's low) Resistance: $44.04 (14 day moving average)

Support: $40.88 (low of 15/01/09) Resistance: $43.50 (9 day moving average)

Support: $37.99 (low of 24/12/09) Resistance: $42.67 (yesterday's high)

OIL (BRENT):

Support: $43.15 (yesterday's low) Resistance: $47.20 (high of 15/01/09)

Support: $42.79 (low of 09/01/09) Resistance: $46.50 (high of 13/02/09)

Support: $41.84 (low of 13/01/09) Resistance: $45.50 (yesterday's high)

Gold

The bullish pattern was and still is clear and exactly as we explained in our previous reports gold succeeded to breach our yesterday expected point at (950.00-952.00) easily in the second technical try. Today's overview will remain to the upside toward 1000.00 psychological levels as a first target for this incline and this will not change as far as the price settle above the intraday support now at 916.00. Our bullish expectation is based on: 1- The bullish pattern as shown on the above chart. 2- Stability above ICHIMOKU cloud. 3- Gator oscillator bullish signals.

The trading range for today is among the key support now at 916.00 and key resistance now at 1000.00 psychological level.

The general trend is to the upside as far as 856.00 remains intact with targets at 1035.00.

Support: 952.00, 947.00, 943.00, 935.00, 925.00
Resistance: 965.00, 973.00, 980.00, 988.00, 1000.00

Recommendation: According to our analysis, we believe that it is good to buy gold with a four hour close above 962.00 with targets at 988.00and stop loss with a four hour close below 943.00.